Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 1088.735818 1204.049923 1322.254984 1452.213589 1590.811779 1733.939230 1892.649889
2025-04-20 936.119292 1108.797762 1293.937402 1506.078355 1741.309374 1993.066500 2281.779917
2025-04-27 829.695497 1035.592136 1263.906265 1533.486747 1840.722251 2177.691740 2572.903158
2025-05-04 734.118666 960.282330 1218.627022 1531.633514 1896.672422 2305.182142 2793.066352
2025-05-11 651.631031 890.671627 1171.322252 1519.368137 1933.633468 2405.422648 2977.702282
2025-05-18 594.667235 845.762457 1147.879110 1530.258868 1993.436491 2528.806456 3186.689864
2025-05-25 536.501372 794.016396 1111.461190 1521.267804 2026.045918 2617.704527 3353.594939
2025-06-01 498.515442 764.613727 1099.768186 1539.957560 2090.005250 2742.402665 3562.106153
2025-06-08 451.091627 718.995229 1064.237485 1525.929592 2111.465427 2814.394185 3706.683082
2025-06-15 429.682524 706.573616 1070.016494 1563.026229 2195.556729 2962.017868 3942.616225
2025-06-22 398.412519 678.129596 1052.737698 1568.762515 2239.034680 3059.265900 4117.317233
2025-06-29 366.297777 646.115142 1028.652536 1563.830713 2267.574760 3137.176862 4267.979744
2025-07-06 319.075368 589.296991 968.520891 1509.445781 2231.609731 3134.621889 4320.366443
2025-07-13 311.561129 591.225813 989.740584 1564.541208 2338.558299 3312.884946 4599.248106
2025-07-20 296.307876 580.109415 991.630010 1592.685209 2409.873584 3446.187123 4822.626899
2025-07-27 273.432644 555.368489 972.572652 1590.782430 2440.536085 3527.189649 4980.244622
2025-08-03 249.527221 527.134753 946.848914 1578.188706 2455.816480 3587.730861 5111.682831
2025-08-10 233.904146 511.306662 938.520926 1589.371024 2502.701495 3689.052721 5295.343070
2025-08-17 214.370564 487.363427 916.688212 1580.139280 2520.946636 3752.567914 5430.489080
2025-08-24 203.142738 476.918652 914.842030 1599.328854 2578.038227 3867.163666 5631.930093
2025-08-31 185.110798 452.959133 890.763039 1584.925913 2587.758745 3918.719177 5751.613327
2025-09-07 179.781666 451.692267 902.240587 1623.011896 2670.943101 4068.255258 5999.526079
2025-09-14 168.075713 437.637142 892.529110 1628.900520 2708.521786 4156.888581 6168.214576